Artificial Intelligence: Driven Predictive Modeling of Spoilage Microorganisms in Perishable Foods

Artificial intelligence predictive modeling spoilage microorganisms perishable foods

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February 20, 2026

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The rapid spoilage of perishable foods such as fish and tomato
poses significant challenges to food safety and contributes to food waste. This
study evaluated the effectiveness of artificial intelligence (AI) models in
predicting spoilage and supporting timely interventions. Fresh fish and
tomato samples (eight each) were collected from local markets and farms,
stored under refrigerated (4°C) and ambient (25°C) conditions, while
environmental parameters—temperature, humidity, and light exposure
were continuously monitored using digital sensors. Microbial counts were
determined at regular intervals using standard microbiological techniques,
and intrinsic food properties (pH, moisture content, water activity) were
measured. The AI models—Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine
(SVM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were trained on normalized
datasets integrating food and environmental variables to predict microbial
load (CFU/g) and spoilage onset. Model performance was evaluated using
accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and RMSE, and real-time predictions
were compared with actual measurements. Results indicated that microbial
growth accelerated at 25°C, reaching severe spoilage within 24–48 hours,
while refrigerated samples exhibited slower growth. Among the AI models,
Random Forest consistently achieved the highest accuracy (95% for fish, 93%
for tomato), precision, recall, F1-score, and the lowest RMSE, accurately
predicting spoilage with errors below 3%. ANN also performed well in
capturing temporal patterns, whereas SVM showed moderate predictive
capability. In conclusion, AI models, particularly Random Forest, effectively
forecasted microbial growth and spoilage, enabling early interventions to
improve food safety and reduce waste. Recommendations include
maintaining low storage temperatures, implementing AI-based monitoring,
integrating real-time sensor data for dynamic prediction, and promoting AI
adoption in perishable food supply chains.